Statistic information about quantity of automobiles Best answer on the web
Posted in: darrelrussell.com edit
07 Jan 2009
I am looking for statistic information about quantity of automobiles:
? In the world
? In Asia-Pacific region
? In China
Also I am interesting in historical data, for example from 2000 to 2005, and if possible a forecast.
I have compiled statistics pertaining to both vehicle usage and vehicle production in the world, with an additional focus on China. I hope this information meets your needs!
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WORLD STATISTICS
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Vehicle Production
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The International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers provides statistical information on automobile production by country. Please go to the main page, click on English version, and then go to the left sidebar and click on "Statistics." From there, you can find "Production Statistics" by year, by manufacturer, and by country and type of vehicle. Statistics are updated through 2004.
Website: http://www.oica.net/htdocs/Main.htm
Vehicle Usage
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The International Road Federation contains statistical reports for vehicle usage worldwide. You will have to order the most recent reports but the prices seem reasonable. http://www.irfnet.org/cms/pages/en/ViewPage.asp?id=21
"IRF World Road Statistics is the only global compilation of road and vehicle statistics. It is based on data compiled from official sources within national statistics offices and national road administrations in more than 185 countries. It also benefits from increased IRF cooperation with international institutions such as Eurostat and Afristat, and the UN Economic Commissions for Europe and for Africa. Since it first appeared in 1958, World Road Statistics has been an indispensable reference tool for road professionals, statisticians, economists, journalists and development specialists around the world. It is used by such agencies as the United Nations Development Programme, The World Bank and the CIA for their own publications: for example, the World Bank uses World Road Statistics to prepare a part of its own publication World Development Indicators."
You can order the following report from the site:
"World Road Statistics 2005 http://www.irfnet.org/cms/pages/en/ViewPage.asp?id=21 data 1999-2003
See a sample report:
http://www.irfnet.org/wrs/WRS2001_samples.pdf=
Dated reports from this site can be found below:
"TRANSPORTATION INDICATORS FOR SELECTED COUNTRIES." Prepared from "World Road Statistics - 2002", International Road Federation, the "Highway Statistitics 2000" publication of the Federal Highway Administration, and the Japan Automobile Manufactures Association http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ohim/hs01/in3.htm
1996 numbers:
Transportation indicators for selected countries - 1996."
http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ohim/hs97/in3.pdf
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The following miscellaneous quotes focus on the number of automobiles worldwide:
"Today, the total number of automobiles in operation worldwide is estimated to be around 800 million..."
From Denso Corporation, Japan
http://www.denso.co.jp/en/environment/management/
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"Today?s global car parc, or the total number of automobiles in the world, stands at about 750 million vehicles. Over the next 20 years, as worldwide demand for personal transportation explodes, we expect this number to climb to almost a billion vehicles."
From "Why Advanced Technology Vehicles Matter," by Larry Burns
http://www.greencar.com/index.cfm?content=voices2
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"Currently, the world population is said to be approximately 6.1 billion people, whereas the number of automobiles is 740 million.."
From "Realization of a Sustainable Society." Toyota. 2003
http://www.toyota.co.jp/en/environmental_rep/03/massage.html
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"Five Hundred Million Cars, One Planet - Who's Going to Give?" Michael Renner
August 08, 2003 http://www.worldwatch.org/live/discussion/83/
"In 2002, the world's passenger car fleet hit 531 million. A quarter of these cars were in the United States, a country with just five percent of the world's population, and a long known love affair for the automobile. The average car in the US travels 10 percent more each year than a car in the United Kingdom, about 50 percent more than one in Germany, and almost 200 percent more than a car in Japan. And while Americans drive less fuel-efficient cars - the carbon emissions of U.S. automobiles are roughly equivalent to those of the entire Japanese economy - the fourth largest carbon emitter - efforts to raise mandated fuel efficiency standards in the U.S. are hitting constant road blocks."
read further...
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CHINA
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Number of Vehicles
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From a recent article:
"With the total number of vehicles in China exceeding 20 million, a regulatory incentive is needed to promote the use of less wasteful, more efficient and cleaner cars, trucks and buses: a fuel tax."
See "Group puts forward new suggestions," by Gong Zhengzheng. China Daily. 2005-09-05 http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2005-09/05/content_475074.htm
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"China expects to have 140 million automobiles plying its roads by 2020, seven times more than now, fueling demand for transportation infrastructure and services, state media reports. Li Xinghua, deputy director of the Communication Ministry's Comprehensive Planning Department, predicted that China's auto population would eventually reach around 250 million, or about 150 cars per 1,000 people."
Read "China to have 140 million cars by 2020." China Dily. Updated: 2004-09-04
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2004-09/04/content_371641.htm
Production
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"CHINA has begun to enter the age of mass car consumption. This is a great and historic advance." So proclaimed the state-run news agency, Xinhua, last year. Environmentalists may feel a twinge of fear at this burgeoning romance with motoring. But a rapid social and economic transformation is under way in urban China, and the car is steering it."
"In 2002 demand for cars in China soared by 56%, far more than even the rosiest projections. The next year growth quickened to 75%, before slowing in 2004 (when the government tightened rules on credit for car purchases) to around 15%. But in a sluggish global market, China's demand remains mesmerising. Few expect this year's growth to dip below 10%. As long as the economy goes on galloping at its current high-single-digit clip, many expect car sales to increase by 10-20% annually for several years to come."
"Gargantuan figures trip merrily from the tongues of car manufacturers. With 5m car sales last year, China is already the world's third-largest car market, after America (17m) and Japan (5.9m). "China is going to become the second-largest market in the world sometime over the next two or three years," says David Thomas, head of China distribution for Ford. Between 2010 and 2015, he thinks, it could be the biggest. "China is developing in very similar ways (to the developed markets), but doing it so much quicker," Mr Thomas adds. "So much quicker," he repeats.
From "Dream machines - China is not yet an auto-culture in the mould of the United States. But it may only be a matter of time." The Economist. Jun 2nd 2005. http://www.economist.com/business/displaystory.cfm?story_id=4032842
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"The Chinese automotive industry has grown dramatically over the past decade. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, in 1993 a mere 220,000 cars were produced in China. By 2004 that number jumped to 2.34 million units produced. Fueling this production growth has been a rise in regional demand throughout Asia. Within China the number of new car registrations is expected to grow steadily rather than exponentially over the next 10 years."
"According to China Today, currently Beijing has 2.4 million registered vehicles but can only provide parking spaces for 600,000 of them."
From "Study Finds Development Challenges Growing as Automotive Industry Expands." MARKET WIRE. 11/30/2005 http://66.102.7.104/search?q=cache:xVg_K66dcDYJ:www.marketwire.com/mw/release_html_b1%3Frelease_id%3D102717+number+of+vehicles+in+Asia+OR+China+OR+Taiwan&hl=en
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See "China. An Automotive Industry on the Verge - To glimpse the future of the automotive industry, look to China." Global Auto Industry.com. December 2005 http://www.globalautoindustry.com/CHINAtalkDEC05.htm#OnTheVerge
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See "Making Sense of the Bloated Capacity Additions in China?s Auto Industry," by Kothandaram Venkatakrishnan. Frost & Sullivan. Date Published: 9 Jun 2005 http://www.frost.com/prod/servlet/cif-econ-insight.pag?docid=39859051
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Exports:
"A growing concern for international car makers about a potential flood of cheap Chinese cars came last week with official data showing China's vehicle exports exceeded imports for the first time, AFP reported. Exports reached 135,000 units in the first 10 months of this year, 7,000 more units than were imported. Although the export market is still in its infancy in China, accounting for some 2.0 percent of the total production, Chinese start-ups such as Geely, Chery and Jiangling are pursuing aggressive export strategies that aim to challenge global players over the next 20 years. The Chinese companies currently export vehicles mainly to Africa, the Middle East or Southeast Asia."
"Chinese auto exports to defies international car makers." MENAFN - 12/12/2005
http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?StoryId=118027
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Imports:
Huge Market:
"According to customs figures, China?s auto imports amounted to $14.45 billion in 2003, a year-on-year increase of 84 percent. Of them, vehicle imports were 125,129 units, valued at $5.25 billion, up 63 percent; key parts valued at $2.99 billion, up 131.9 percent; and components, $6.2 billion, up 85.7 percent. Of the $5.25 billion vehicle imports, passenger car imports were valued at $3.08 billion, an increase of 91 percent over the same period of previous year. They totaled 103,000 units, up 46.5 percent. In 2003, China produced 4.4 million vehicle units, selling 4.39 million units and in the process becoming the third largest auto seller in the world. China?s private auto owners are expected to grow in number by leaps and bounds. Last year, China produced 2.07 million passenger cars, selling 2.04 million units. The autos owned per thousand people in China are 13 units, compared to the world average of 120 units."
From "Auto Bump and Grind = Will the cancellation of auto import quotas mean a big drop in the price of vehicles made in China?" by LI ZI http://www.bjreview.com.cn/200437/Business-200437(A).htm
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Some general production statistics are included in the following article:
See "Renault May Suspend China Car Plant Push, People Say." Bloomberg. Dec. 12, 2005. http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000080&sid=aC1bYxpuNpzM
Production Capacity
"China's 120 automobile assemblers can produce 8 million vehicles a year with another 2.2 million units of capacity under construction, compared with sales of 5.6 million vehicles this year, said Chen Bin, vice director of the National Development and Reform Commission's industry department."
"The high fuel cost is pushing car sizes smaller in China, worsening the mix and the average selling price,'' said Jerry Lou, an analyst at Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong. He expects the auto industry as a whole to lose money in China in 2006."
"Chinese carmakers may be left with an inventory of 200,000 unsold cars this year and average prices may fall by an additional 6 percent next year, according to a research note posted today on China Automotive Information Net, a government-run Web site."
Historical Production Data pertaining to 2000-2005
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From a 2003 article:
"China's Automobile Output Could Hit Four Million: Expert "Last updated at: (Beijing Time) Friday, July 18, 2003 http://english.people.com.cn/200307/18/eng20030718_120564.shtml
"The number of motor vehicles produced in China this year could reach four million, including 1.5 million cars, a leading industry authority said here Friday."
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Some excerpts from: "The Tenth Five-Year Plan of the Automotive Industry and its Development." China Daily. http://bizchina.chinadaily.com.cn/guide/industry/industry2.htm
Read entire article.....
"Based on the objectives of the 10th Five-Year Plan from the above-mentioned tasks, China's automotive industry will achieve the following goals by 2005.
(1) "Output volume: The annual output of motor vehicles in China will be around 3.20 million, 1.1 million of which will be cars. The industrial added value of motor vehicles in China will total 130 billion yuan (US$15.66 billion), accounting for about 1 percent of the Gross Domestic Product. The domestic need for automobiles will nearly be satisfied. Income from automobile and spare-parts exports will account for 8 percent of the total.
(3) "While the production of diesel cars and mini vehicles will be launched, the number of gas-fueled buses and taxis will also be increased. By 2005, the total numberof cars will top 35 percent from 29.2 percent in 2000. The number of diesel vehicles will climb to about 35 percent from 29.7 percent in 2000. Vehicles substitute fuels will account for more than 2 percent of the total. The systematic and modularized ability of spare-parts and increase the number of high-tech spare parts with added value. The export volume of spare parts will also be increased. At the end of the 10th Five-Year Plan, gas vehicles with carburetors will no longer be produced."
II. The development of the domestic automotive industry
"According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the total number of auto-manufacturing corporations in China was 5,228 in 2000. Among them 119 were whole-vehicle producers, 780 were re-equipped-vehicle producers and 143 were motorcycle producers. Staff members totaled about 1,465,000 and the net value of fixed assets was about 163.3 billion yuan. By the end of 2000, total assets were valued at about 564.2 billion yuan. The annual output of the entire automobile-manufacturing industry was about 2,069,000 units in 2000 with a sales volume of 2,089,000, ranking eighth in the world. The number of finished products in storage totaled 186,000 at the end of 2000 with a total output value of 371 billion yuan and sales value of 391 billion yuan."
"Among the 119 whole-vehicle producers, there were nine corporations whose individual output totaled more than 100,000 units (total output was 1,652,000, accounting for 79.9 percent of the total); four corporations had an individual output of more than 200,000 (total output was 1,090,000, accounting for 52.7 percent of the total). Corporations with an individual output of more than 100,000 units were FAW Group, with an annual output of 424,000; Shanghai Volkswagen Automotive Co Ltd, with 253,000; Dong Feng Motor Corp, with 211,000); Chang'an Automobile Co Ltd, with 203,000; Beijing Automotive Industry Group Co, with 125,000; Hafei Motor Co Ltd, with 122,000; Liuzhou Wuling Automobile Co Ltd, with 112,000; Changhe Airplane Industry Co, with 103,000; and Tianjin Automotive Industry Corporation, with 102,000."
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Read online pages from the book, "Personal Cars and China (2003)." Nat'l Academies Press. http://www.nap.edu/books/030908492X/html/7.html
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TAIWAN
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You can download vehicle registration data for Tawian from the Ministry of Transportation and Communications: (last updated 2004) http://www.motc.gov.tw/en/hypage.cgi?HYPAGE=eng_stat06.asp&catid=6
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JAPAN
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Japanese Auto production:
"Nissan, Honda,Toyota boost vehicle production - BOOMING DEMAND: More orders from North America and Asia have prompted production increases of as much as 17.2 percent last month." BLOOMBERG. Friday, Feb 25, 2005 http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/worldbiz/archives/2005/02/25/2003224539
"Toyota Motor Corp, Nissan Motor Co and Honda Motor Co, Japan's three largest carmakers, increased global vehicle production last month from a year ago to meet rising demand in North America, Asia and China. Nissan boosted production 17.2 percent, it said in a statement. Honda increased production 12.3 percent and Toyota expanded production 4.9 percent, they said separately. Mazda Motors Corp. and Mitsubishi Motors Corp. both cut production."
Read further...
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THAILAND
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"Statistics: Jan-Feb 2004." (Source: Thailand Automotive Institute)
Vehicle Production
138,563 Units
Vehicle Domestic Sales
93,167 Units
From "THAILAND CONTINUES TO GROW AS THE DETROIT OF ASIA."
http://www.business-in-asia.com/auto_industry.html
ADDITIONAL DATA
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Forecasts:
From "Global Shareholder Value Indices." PriceWaterhouseCoopers
http://www.pwcglobal.com/Extweb/industry.nsf/docid/5C85A243160C8151852568AC0077296A
"The AUTOFACTS strategic market analysis group at PricewaterhouseCoopers estimates that 2004 global light vehicle assembly increased approximately 4.9% to approximately 60.2 million units. North American car and light truck production was essentially flat in 2004, posting a modest decline of 0.3% to 15.8 million units. AUTOFACTS forecasts North American light vehicle production to further decline from this level in 2005, with an expected total of 15.5 million units (1.6% decrease). However, global production is forecasted to rise to 61.7 million units in 2005 (+2.6%) with the Asia-Pacific region accounting for as much as 90% of global growth (1.5 million units). As such, automotive companies continue to invest heavily to establish a presence in Asian countries. Changes from Q2 2005 include a reduction of the North American 2005 forecast by approximately 0.2 million units, in increase in the Asia-Pacific 2005 forecast by approximately 0.4 million units, and an 0.5 million unit increase in overall assembly."
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Dated material:
Read "China and Turkey lead global growth." Automotive Industries, Sept, 2002
http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m3012/is_9_182/ai_92285253
MARKET RESEARCH REPORTS - Production
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See "World Markets - Automotive." World Markets Research Centre.
http://www.wmrc.com/wma_a.html
See Sample Reports - http://www.wmrc.com/wma_a_sample.html
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"Asia-Pacific Automobile Manufacturers." AROQ
http://www.just-auto.com/store/products_detail.asp?art=22036&pg=toc&lk=cat
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"Regional and Global Automotive Forecasting Services," from Global Insights.
http://www.globalinsight.com/ProductsServices/ProductDetail488.htm
You can order sample reports by filling out the registration form:
http://www.globalinsight.com/Scripts/registrationForm.cfm?ID=5
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Vehicle Forecast Reports from AutoAsia.
http://www.auto-asia.com/forecasts.html#vehicle
AutoAsia homepage - http://www.auto-asia.com/
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Reports pertaining to usage in Europe
http://www.eagleaid.com/index.htm
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Table 2-83 HISTORICAL VEHICLE PRODUCTION IN TAIWAN BY MANUFACTURER."
PDF Document $25.00
http://klinegroup.ecnext.com/free-scripts/comsite2.pl?page=add_to_cart2&item=ITM--0229--0229-66922--PDF
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Dated Market research reports:
http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/272567/
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Miscellaneous
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"Russia will have 60 million cars by 2020." 2004-05-12
http://newsfromrussia.com/main/2004/05/12/53873.html
"By 2020, the number of automobiles in Russia will exceed 60 million, and currently there are 30 million cars in the country,' according to Deputy Transport Minister Alexander Kolik. As reported by a Rosbalt correspondent, Kolik made the remark Wednesday at a seminar on Russian and EU transportation strategies. He said the number of cars in Russia was growing at an annual rate of 7-10%."
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If I can clarify anything further, please don't hesitate to ask and I will help if I am able!
Sincerely,
umiat
Search Strategy
vehicle statistics AND world
global vehicle production
number of automobiles by country
number of vehicles by country
number of automobiles
number of automobiles in the world
number of vehicles produced in China OR Asia by year
number of vehicles in Asia OR China OR Taiwan
number of vehicles AND China
Asia AND automobiles by country
transportation indicators for selected countries
There is information available on:
1) The number of cars produced in the world each year
2) The total number of cars in use in the world, and
3) Trends in both of the above.
There are probably forecasts for the above as well, though I haven't come across them as yet.
For individual regions or countries, the available information is much more spotty. It exists! But it tends to be tightly held, and available only in very pricey market reports.
Would the global data alone meet your needs?
Of course, I could summarize the data for China as well, but as I said, there's not a lot of detail out there.
Let me know your thoughts on the best way to proceed.
Thanks,
pafalafa-ga
I am interesting in the total number of cars in use in China, in Asia-Pacific region and in the world.
Also see:
"Asia Leads Global Car Ownership Aspirations," by Midori Matsuoka. Director, ACNielsen International Research. http://www2.acnielsen.com/pubs/2005_q1_ap_car.shtml
** See chart
"China is the most ?aspiring? country although potential car buyers still
represent a small portion of the population. The automotive market in China slowed a bit in 2004, reaching a temporary plateau, but will pick up again in 2005 as China moves comparatively rapidly from an underdeveloped market with limited brand/model choice to a mature replacement market with increased competition. "
"With three of the world?s four most populous countries heading the AI listing, it is clear that consumer demand for personalised transportation will drive global sales as the ability to buy rises to match aspirations."
"In contrast, the US, many northern European countries and Japan have a low AI, reflecting higher levels of existing ownership and reduced potential for further growth."
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"India to be world?s 3rd largest car market by 2030: Study. Financial Express. Dec. 1, 2005 http://www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=110214?headline=India~to~be~world%E2%80%99s~3rd~largest~car~market~by~2030
"At a time when auto industry honchos in India refuse to predict even the next quarter's growth, US-based consultancy Keystone-a subsidiary of LaSalle Consulting Associates-has forecast that India will become the world's third largest automobile market by 2030, behind just China and the US. An ageing population and increasing costs of ownership will see auto market shrinking in Japan, Korea and Europe while increasing per capita income will fuel the two Asian giants' growth, it says."
"Over the next quarter century, emerging markets will replace the mature markets of America, Europe and Japan as the primary driver of sales growth and will account for 69% of industry sales and 87% of vehicle registrations. Over the next 25 years, more motor vehicles will be sold than in the entire history of the industry, the report says."
"The projected size for China is 62 million and for US 23 million. The size of the Indian vehicle market is forecast to cross 20 million (assuming a consistent GDP growth rate of 6%) from the one million plus vehicles sold in 2004."
read further.......
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Some more dated material:
Car ownership by country - European Union
http://themes.eea.eu.int/Sectors_and_activities/transport/indicators/technology/TERM32,2002/TERM_2002_32_EU_Size_of_the_vehicle_fleet.pdf
Thanks for getting back to me. I'm pulling together the bits and pieces of information that I have -- along with information about market reports for sale -- and hope to have an answer for you soon.
I did manage to get a sample of one market report for Taiwan (not for China, though), so I can give you a good overview, at least, of the type of information therein.
Stay tuned...
paf