What exactly are the "credit worries" associated with the current downturn in the US stock market? Best answer on the web
Posted in: darrelrussell.com edit
07 Jan 2009
What exactly are the "credit worries" associated with the current downturn in the US stock market?
The US stock market is experiencing a mild sell-off in the the recent weeks (August 2007). People keep talking abotu credit worries that lending companies and maybe even banks may be facing. What exactly is this worry/problem in the credit market, and how serious is it? What is the worst that can happen in the credit market fails? Where is this lack of liquidity (cash) coming from? Thanks. William is correct, except that the most recent worries include the fact that the credit problems are not restricted to the subprime market, but borrowers with better credit and income are also defaulting on mortgages.The result is that credit is being tightened for virtually all borrowers, not just the subprime ones. I'd agree that liquidity is low, which is why central banks around the world are pumping money in to the market.
The issue is why. Although subprime is a mess, there isn't actually a huge loss going on. All mortgages are secured on real property, which means that while the mortgage company is not short of assets (they take the house if you default on the mortgage) they are short of cash (because the mortgagees have stopped paying).
Mortgage companies can (and probably are) coming to an understanding with a lot of the mortgagees to reduce payments but to keep on paying something - that's the cash the companies need to stay in business. However, they also have to stop lending as much money, making mortgages more difficult to get, and they also will put rates up, because their own borrowing from banks has increased.
All of this means that the mortgage situation is self-correcting over time; the real property hasn't gone away, the mortgage companies will be able to offload the foreclosed properties for cash, and the market will calm down. It just takes time.
You put your money in the bank and buy stocks
Then other people borrow that money to buy stuff and do business
Right now people are not putting enough money in for companies to borrow and to continue doing business
This causes a credit crunch preventing people from doing business and making profits
That is why the feds (in many countries)are making more money available to banks to loan